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New article 'Bankroll & Standard Deviation' on main site - Live Poker Forums

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New article 'Bankroll & Standard Deviation' on main site

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New article 'Bankroll & Standard Deviation' on main site

Postby tetsuo » Mon Jan 10, 2005 1:47 pm

Angel Largay has very kindly donated this article to us! Thanks Angel!

You can reach it by going to this site's homepage.

It is listed under 'poker strategy'.

Enjoy!
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Postby ---WTF--- » Sat Jun 17, 2006 4:48 pm

What does the "In" stand for in this equation?

Bankroll needed = -(SD^2/2*hourly win rate)ln(risk of ruin).
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Postby k3nt » Sat Jun 17, 2006 7:14 pm

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Postby ---WTF--- » Sat Jun 17, 2006 11:51 pm

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Postby GodlikeRoy » Sun Jun 18, 2006 12:06 am

=ln(xxx)

And yes ln is natural log: loge(x), where e is eulers constant (~2.3 i think).
Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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Postby NorthView » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:46 am

Mon May 12, 2008 1:46 am
When I play a patient and relaxed game I win - that simple.

Mon May 12, 2008 10:55 pm
Seriously, fuck poker.
==================================================================

[21:03] NorthViewBTP: mac is a fellow mexican
[21:03] Mekosking: yup
[21:03] NorthViewBTP: you should support your bro
[21:03] Mekosking: therefore hes a fat worthless tsr obv
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Postby GodlikeRoy » Sun Jun 18, 2006 4:57 am

Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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Postby ---WTF--- » Sun Jun 18, 2006 11:58 am

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Postby sfairgrieve » Mon Oct 02, 2006 9:55 pm

I am a bit curious where you came up with the formula for the standard deviation for a players hourly win rate. It seems to me that you have a type and have 1/n where you should have 1/T. The consequnece of the error is the result you will get could be quite a bit higher than it really is.

I went through the trouble of deriving the formula for the standard deviation for a players hourly win rate and arrived at

Image

This differs from the formula in the article by replacing 1/(total time) on the outside with 1/n. There is no way that I can see to rectify these results. I can only conclude that either a) the forumla was mis-typed or the source of the original formula was in error.
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Postby Nortonesque » Tue Oct 03, 2006 1:34 am

Yeah I get the same thing (actually that's variance, but obviously take the square root for standard deviation). In the terms of Angel's formula you'd express it as the square root of

(1/T)x - (hourly earn)^2

This makes the standard deviation in his example more like $11.
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Postby sfairgrieve » Tue Oct 03, 2006 7:52 am

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Postby jfkdkdldls » Sat Apr 21, 2007 6:54 am

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Postby black_knight6 » Sat Apr 21, 2007 11:52 am

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Postby AXN » Wed Apr 25, 2007 12:58 am

Hi,

For some reason I can't go to home page. Every time I click on the BTP links or go to BTP.com it takes me directly to the forum. :?

I'm sorry I'm computer illiterate. Can someone tell how to get to BTP home page?
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Postby jfkdkdldls » Wed Apr 25, 2007 7:01 am

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